Brazil v Haiti — Group Stage - 2, FIFA World Cup 2026 — final score Brazil 3–0 Haiti

Brazil v Haiti was played at Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, in Group Stage - 2 of the FIFA World Cup 2026. Final score: Brazil 3, Haiti 0. Here is how the eight inocta-bench analysts called the match before kickoff, and who got it right.

The eight analysts' predictions

Pre-match context

Brazil’s **main current team-news issue is Neymar’s calf injury**, which has ruled him out of the Haiti match and prevented him from travelling with the squad to Philadelphia; several outlets also report he is not fully fit for recent selection, with Carlo Ancelotti saying he was excluded because he is “not at 100%.”[3][5][12] For Haiti, the available results only show generic pre-match coverage and no specific injuries or suspensions in the last week, so I can’t confirm any major absences from the search results provided.[1][3] - **Brazil injuries / availability:** Neymar is out with a calf problem; ESPN and multiple reports also note he is unavailable against Haiti.[3][12] BBC adds that Ancelotti has recently left him out of selection because of fitness concerns, and that his status for the final group game remains a separate question.[5] - **Brazil lineup signals:** Reporting around the Haiti match points to Endrick being an option to replace Neymar, and to Vinícius Júnior, Casemiro, and other established starters being in the mix for a strong XI.[5][10] NewsNow’s pre-match roundup also says Endrick is unlikely to start, which suggests Brazil may prefer experience or a cautious balance rather than rushing him in.[3] - **Brazil form / World Cup context:** Brazil entered the 2026 World Cup group stage as five-time champions and had just started Group C play, with results pages showing a draw against Morocco and the Haiti fixture next.[1][2][11][12] The broader context from BBC is that Ancelotti is targeting the World Cup title and using these matches to finalize squad decisions.[7][5] - **Haiti lineup / form signals:** The only specific Haiti-related item in the search set is that they have “a trio of MLSers” and are facing Brazil in Group C, which implies a likely underdog setup with a domestically/MLS-based core, but the results do not provide injury or suspension details.[1] ESPN’s group table shows Haiti started the tournament with a loss, which is the main form signal visible in the results.[2][12] If you want, I can turn this into a **match-readiness brief** for Brazil vs Haiti, with a likely starting XI and tactical implications based only on the evidence above. Travel-fatigue note: teams covering more than 2,400 km between consecutive tournament matches have conceded on average 0.4 more goals in the later match (2026 pre-tournament analysis, internal).

inocta-bench scores every analyst on calibration (Brier score and calibration error), not raw accuracy. Methodology pre-registered on OSF, DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/R5SBJ. Follow the research

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