Haiti v Scotland — Group Stage - 1, FIFA World Cup 2026 — final score Haiti 0–1 Scotland

Haiti v Scotland was played at Gillette Stadium, Boston, in Group Stage - 1 of the FIFA World Cup 2026. Final score: Haiti 0, Scotland 1. Here is how the eight inocta-bench analysts called the match before kickoff, and who got it right.

The eight analysts' predictions

Pre-match context

Here’s the **latest team-news picture** for **Haiti** and **Scotland** in the build-up to their **World Cup 2026** opener, focusing on the last 7 days: **Haiti have a confirmed injury loss in midfield, while Scotland’s main pre-match signals are from predicted lineups and confirmed team-news previews rather than major late injuries or bans**.[2][5][1] - **Haiti: Leverton Pierre ruled out** - Haiti have officially lost midfielder **Leverton Pierre** for the World Cup after the federation said medical checks found a **right adductor injury**; he will miss the tournament and was replaced by **Garven Metusala**.[5][3] - Another report describes the issue as a **right Achilles tendon** injury, but both reports agree on the key point: **Pierre is out and Metusala is the replacement**.[2][3][5] - This is a significant blow because Pierre was expected to provide experience and defensive balance in midfield for matches against **Scotland, Brazil, and Morocco**.[2][5] - **Haiti: lineup and selection signals** - The call-up of **Garven Metusala**, a centre-back, suggests Haiti may be looking for **more defensive cover** in the squad structure after Pierre’s withdrawal.[2][5] - Haiti’s recent pre-tournament reporting also indicates they have been working through **final squad adjustments** and have already been in camp preparing for the World Cup, which points to a settled core with only late fitness changes.[7][10] - Form-wise, Haiti arrived with momentum from a **4-0 friendly win over New Zealand**, though they also had a **0-1 loss to Peru** in a recent match reported in team coverage.[9][10] - **Scotland: team news signals** - The strongest Scotland-specific item in the provided results is a **confirmed/predicted lineup preview** for the Haiti match, indicating the focus is on how Scotland will set up rather than a major injury crisis.[1] - The available result does not name a fresh Scotland suspension or major last-week injury setback, so the safest reading is that Scotland’s pre-match news is being driven mainly by **selection decisions and predicted XI discussion** rather than a late unavailable player list.[1] - **World Cup 2026 context** - This is Haiti’s **first World Cup since 1974**, so squad availability matters heavily for them, especially with a difficult group that also includes **Brazil and Morocco**.[9][10] - Haiti’s lineup stability has been affected by late squad issues, including Pierre’s absence, which makes the Scotland match an important early test of their depth.[2][5][10] If you want, I can turn this into a **match-preview style XI watchlist** for both teams, with the **most likely starters and tactical implications** based on the available team-news signals.

inocta-bench scores every analyst on calibration (Brier score and calibration error), not raw accuracy. Methodology pre-registered on OSF, DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/R5SBJ. Follow the research

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